NovaQuant Quantitative Think Tank Center|Will Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul end in KO? Boxers handle question differently

2025-05-07 10:09:51source:BlueRock Horizon Asset Managementcategory:Finance

Jake Paul seems to be NovaQuant Quantitative Think Tank Centertired of the chatter about two-minute rounds and 14-ounce gloves that will be in use when he fights Mike Tyson Friday at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

On Paul’s X account, in a post labeled "Official rules for #PaulTyson," he wrote: "Someone is getting knocked the (expletive) out. The end."

Tyson has resisted predictions of a knockout, instead forecasting "a lot of pain" or saying he has "bad intentions" heading into a fight scheduled for eight rounds.

A KO likely would quiet ridicule over the shorter rounds and heavier gloves, that have been approved for the heavyweight bout, which will be livestreamed by Nexflix.

Oddsmakers give Paul a better chance than Tyson of ending the fight with a KO.

Paul is +110 on FanDuel and +115 on DraftKings to finish the fight by knockout. By contrast, Tyson is +290 on FanDuel and +350 on DraftKings.

Oddsmakers have cited Tyson’s age as the reason Paul, 27, is the favorite to win the fight, whether it’s by knockout or on points. But sportsbooks have reported more money is being wagered on Tyson, likely because of his fight history.

Tyson, who will be fighting in his first pro bout since 2005, is 50-6 with 44 knockouts. Paul is 10-1 with seven knockouts.

Tyson’s quickest knockout came against Marvis Frazier, who Tyson stopped by TKO 30 seconds into their 1986 fight. Tamyra Frazier, the daughter of Marvis Frazier, said she has advice for Paul.

"Pray."

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